How will climate change affect Hamilton?
The climate in our city is already changing, including longer summers, warmer temperatures, extreme rainfall, and drought. Climate modelling shows that for Hamilton Kirikiriroa, we’ll experience:
More extreme rainfall
This can lead to:
– more damage to our roads and footpaths
– flooding of sports fields and parks
– being harder to insure your home
– water runoff degrading the Waikato River
– potential need to evacuate due to flooding.
Check out Floodviewer to see how your home could be impacted by extreme flooding events.
More hotter days and nights
This can lead to:
– limited access to water and ongoing restrictions
– increased food costs
– health impacts, like heatstroke and dehydration
– increased bills for cooling your home
– new pests and diseases
– difficulty to enjoy our outdoor spaces
– reduced water quality in the awa (river).
Increase in drought conditions
This can lead to:
– ongoing water restrictions
– increased risks of wildfires
– more damage to infrastructure
– loss of biodiversity
– erosion along our gullies
– impacts for businesses that require water.
Urban Heat Island effect
Our city is getting warmer and projected to get warmer still. To understand what this increase in heat will mean for Hamiltonians and the city, we’ve started exploring the Urban Heat Island (UHI) effect. This is where urban areas experience higher temperatures than surrounding rural areas, particularly at night. It is caused by cities having more dense infrastructure and darker surfaces, such as asphalt and concrete. These dark surfaces soak up heat during the day and release it at night. Human activities like driving, running air conditioning units, and other industrial processes in cities release artificial heat. The UHI effect amplifies increased temperatures and heatwaves brought on by the changing climate.
An assessment of UHI for Hamilton Kirikiriroa completed in 2025 showed there is an obvious effect in our city. Hotspots identified are the central city, around Waikato Hospital, and the University of Waikato, as these areas have high proportions of buildings and concrete and limited vegetation.
Urban hotspots were up to 5°C warmer than the coolest parts of the city. We also found that during the summer of 2024–2025, Hamilton Kirikiriroa experienced a notable heatwave, with maximum temperature extremes exceeding 27°C for 15 consecutive days. During this heatwave, on 6 February 2025, areas of the central city and around the hospital reached 40°C. That’s pretty hot!
We're now working to better understand the UHI effect and improve our heat data. From this, we will include heat reduction approaches and responses to extreme heat events into our planning and policies.
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Last updated 24 January 2025